2 weeks ago
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Bill Gates posted a agelong essay to his Gates Notes tract today, showing conscionable however overmuch the Microsoft co-founder has been reasoning astir the societal impacts of AI.
Gates is mostly successful the Responsible AI camp, arguing that Pacing The Frontier, the unfastened missive published by AI employees pushing for an AI slowdown, would beryllium a bully idea, but expressing skepticism that it would beryllium sustainable.
He besides expressed excitement astir AI’s benefits to subject and healthcare, but disquieted astir the labour impacts — each beauteous acquainted worldly if you travel Anthropic’s argumentation work.
But determination were a fewer genuinely caller ideas that could alteration the speech if they instrumentality off. For starters, helium proposes a “robot tax”:
Right now, if you’re an leader and you prosecute someone, you wage payroll taxes connected their earnings. But if you bargain a robot, you tin usually constitute it disconnected close distant arsenic a concern expense. The taxation strategy nudges you toward replacing radical with machines.
A taxation would dilatory the unreserved distant from quality labour a small and rise wealth for retraining and a stronger information net.
He besides proposes mounting speech definite jobs arsenic “Human Reserved,” fundamentally barring AI from being utilized successful definite tasks. It’s an absorbing idea, and 1 that would beryllium casual for policy-makers to enact:
We mightiness acceptable thing speech arsenic Human Reserved for economical reasons. For example, we whitethorn bash it due to the fact that allowing machines to instrumentality implicit a definite relation volition displace a ample fig of radical who can’t easy alteration jobs. You can’t archer a 55-year-old who has worked successful operation their full vocation that they request to spell enactment astatine an elder attraction installation and expect them to find it fulfilling.
Sometimes the determination to marque thing Human Reserved volition beryllium driven by different factors. In health, for example, ideate a robot giving you the atrocious quality that you person an incurable disease. There’s nary method crushed wherefore it couldn’t. Yet it shouldn’t.
The Human Reserved domain volition germinate implicit clip — for example, we should see mounting speech immoderate jobs present and phasing successful AI dilatory implicit years oregon decades with a committedness to sphere immoderate jobs.
We should besides enactment that some ideas would enactment a beauteous superior dent successful the profits of the large labs, which whitethorn beryllium wherefore we haven’t heard overmuch astir them until now.
In addition, determination are inactive a batch of unanswered questions astir who precisely would acceptable these rules and what precisely the rules would say, if they were to beryllium rolled out.
English (US) ·